MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Stephen Kolek wins 1 (ERA); Tyler Mahle wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Tyler Mahle
92.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Tyler Mahle
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Tyler Mahle
22.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Tyler Mahle
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Tyler Mahle
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
Tyler Mahle
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Stephen Kolek
.303
Tyler Mahle
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Stephen Kolek
2.467.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.86
Tyler Mahle
2.467.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
3.95
WHIPlower is better
Stephen Kolek
.9001.78
now 0.94
1.32
Tyler Mahle
.9001.78
now 1.54
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Stephen Kolek
4079.80
now 19
0
Tyler Mahle
4079.80
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Stephen Kolek
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Tyler Mahle
.0004.20
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyTyler Mahle — hold.conf 0.60
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