Rest of Season Projection
TaylorCategoryTrent
33K ←24
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →3–7
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
TaylorCategoryTrent
17K ←6
4.15ERA →1.98
1.57WHIP →0.88
1W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Taylor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — the 5.33 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.41 is +0.31 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Trent Thornton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.160 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.08 is 3.08 above the ERA — regression coming
Taylor Rogers: 33 K / 3.71 ERA. Trent Thornton: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).