MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tim Mayza.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Tyler Kinley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tim Mayza wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Tim Mayza
94.6
Tyler Kinley
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Tim Mayza
10.7%
Tyler Kinley
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Tim Mayza
24.2%
Tyler Kinley
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Tim Mayza
27.8%
Tyler Kinley
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Tim Mayza
44.4%
Tyler Kinley
28.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Tim Mayza
6.5%
Tyler Kinley
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Tim Mayza
.283
Tyler Kinley
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Tim Mayza
2.943.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.33
Tyler Kinley
2.943.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.42
WHIPlower is better
Tim Mayza
.9001.52
now 0.99
1.20
Tyler Kinley
.9001.52
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Tim Mayza
4037.20
now 26
5
Tyler Kinley
4037.20
now 28
5
Winshigher is better
Tim Mayza
.0005.60
now 1
00
Tyler Kinley
.0005.60
now 4
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyTim Mayza — buy.conf 0.83
BuyTyler Kinley — buy.conf 0.80
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