Rest of Season Projection
TroyCategoryTyler
8HR →15
38R →40
41RBI ←40
5SB ←2
.297AVG ←.249
Current Season
TroyCategoryTyler
2HR →7
23R →26
25RBI →26
3SB ←1
.312AVG ←.226
What Each Player's System Trusts
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Tyler Soderstrom
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.329)
Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Tyler Soderstrom: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).