79 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Braden Shewmake
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.282); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .223R 23RBI 23SB 0
Shewmake is a hold — league average, stable, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .243 YTD → .223 ROS, R 8 YTD → 23 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.282)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphvs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
64 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.282
lg avg .315 ▼−.033vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
79 / 160 PA
wOBA.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
79 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
79 / 60 PA
Walk %2.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
79 / 120 PA
BABIP.254
lg avg .295 ▼−.041vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
64 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.6%signal6 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.254→0.247 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.254 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.246 (xBA 0.236) → 0.247.
on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~228 projected PA.
slugging + lineup23 RBI — his RBI rate over ~228 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 28 G) over ~228 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.