Rest of Season Projection
BradenCategoryElly
6HR →12
23R →52
23RBI →48
0SB →13
.223AVG →.254
Current Season
BradenCategoryElly
3HR →12
8R →40
8RBI →37
0SB →10
.243AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braden Shewmake
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.282)
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Braden Shewmake: 6 HR / 23 R. Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).