week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Casey Legumina
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.13); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 17ERA 3.76WHIP 1.25W 1–1SV 0
Legumina is a hold — average stuff, no edge to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 17 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %16.8%—−3.8% ▼vs his ~20.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.13)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
123 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
123 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.347
lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
167 / 200 TBF
xERA5.13
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.03vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
167 / 200 TBF
ERA3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
39.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.2%vs his norm −3.8% ▼
167 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm −3.1% ▼Walk % is below his ~9.7% norm — expect it to rise.
167 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.308
lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
627 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.8%→18.8%signal17 K — K% 16.8% (signal) lifted to career ~20.6% → projected 18.8% over ~23 remaining IP.
xERA 5.13noise3.76 ERA — xERA 5.13 (noise) blended 4% skill / 96% league 3.70 at 24 IP.
BB% 6.6% + contactnoise1.25 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.38 skill WHIP, blended 4%…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.76 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.