week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Cody Bradford
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling — skill near league average (5.12); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.30ERA 4.10W 0–0SV 0
Bradford is a hold — league average, but the strikeouts are missing.
ROS projects K 5 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.62 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %11.2%—−11.2% ▼vs his ~22.4% career norm
- Walk %5.3%—+0.5% ▲vs his ~4.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.12)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
187 / 200 TBF
xERA5.12
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.02vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
187 / 200 TBF
ERA4.19
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.09vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
43 / 200 IP
Strikeout %11.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−10.8%vs his norm −11.2% ▼
187 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.7%vs his norm +0.5% ▲
187 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
155 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
187 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
187 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo88.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−5.4 mphvs his norm —
696 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 11.2%→17.0%signal0 K — K% 11.2% (signal) lifted to career ~22.4% → projected 17.0% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.12noise4.10 ERA — xERA 5.12 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 4 IP.
BB% 5.3% + contactsignal1.30 WHIP — a 5% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.