week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Joe Mantiply
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.52); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 28ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–3SV 0
Mantiply is a hold — league average, nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 28 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.5%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~21.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.52)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed44.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —
50 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
50 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.332
lg avg .315 ▲+.017vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
71 / 200 TBF
xERA4.52
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.42vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
71 / 200 TBF
ERA2.04
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.06vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
17.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
71 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm −0.9% ▼Walk % is below his ~6.5% norm — expect it to rise.
71 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.319
lg avg .295 ▲+.024vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
50 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.5%→21.5%signal28 K — K% 22.5% (signal) tempered to career ~21.1% → projected 21.5% over ~33 remaining…
xERA 4.52noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.52 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 18 IP.
BB% 5.6% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.24 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role1-3 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.