week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Kirby Yates
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.39); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0–0
Yates is a hold — average results, nothing unstable underneath
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.20 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %27.5%—−5.5% ▼vs his ~33.0% career norm
- Walk %9.6%—−0.0% ▼vs his ~9.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.39)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed47.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.2%vs his norm —
108 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
108 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
178 / 200 TBF
xERA3.39
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.71vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
178 / 200 TBF
ERA3.19
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.91vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
42.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.5%vs his norm −5.5% ▼
178 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −0.0% ▼
178 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.298
lg avg .295 ▲+.003vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
108 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.8%vs his norm —
178 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.2 mphvs his norm —
726 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.5%→30.4%signal0 K — K% 27.5% (signal) lifted to career ~33.0% → projected 30.4% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.39noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.39 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 8 IP.
BB% 9.6% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.31 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0-0 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.