week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Kirby Yates
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.19); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 21ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 1–4
Yates is a hold — limited data, skill looks near average.
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 21 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %32.6%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~33.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.19)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed53.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+13.1%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % Allowed is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
49 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
49 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.279
lg avg .315 ▼−.036vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
86 / 200 TBF
xERA3.19
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.91vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
86 / 200 TBF
ERA3.00
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.10vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
21 / 200 IP
Strikeout %32.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.6%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
86 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm −1.5% ▼Walk % is below his ~9.6% norm — expect it to rise.
86 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.261
lg avg .295 ▼−.034vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
49 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %18.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+7.4%vs his norm —
86 / 60 TBF
Chase %37.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.9%vs his norm —
86 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.3 mphvs his norm —
336 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 32.6%→32.9%signal21 K — K% 32.6% (signal) held to career ~33.0% → projected 32.9% over ~18 remaining IP.
xERA 3.19noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.19 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 8 IP.
BB% 8.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.15 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)1-4 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.