week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Kirby Yates
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
ON THE 15-DAY IL
new call
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.42); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0–1
Yates is a hold — league average with nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 5 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %27.8%—−5.2% ▼vs his ~33.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.42)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed46.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
101 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
101 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.287
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
169 / 200 TBF
xERA3.42
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.68vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
169 / 200 TBF
ERA3.40
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.70vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
39.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.8%vs his norm −5.2% ▼
169 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm +0.5% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.6% norm — expect it to fall.
169 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
101 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
169 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
169 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.2 mphvs his norm —
684 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.8%→30.6%signal5 K — K% 27.8% (signal) lifted to career ~33.0% → projected 30.6% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 3.42noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.42 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 8 IP.
BB% 10.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.32 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0-1 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.