week 19
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Kyle Hart
data as of August 3, 2026·week 19
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.51); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 9ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Hart is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to chase.
ROS projects K 11 YTD → 9 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.6%—+2.6% ▲vs his ~19.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.51)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed28.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.3%vs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
115 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.291
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
xERA3.51
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.59vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
ERA4.87
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.77vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
40.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm +2.6% ▲
167 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm −1.2% ▼Walk % is below his ~9.0% norm — expect it to rise.
167 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.257
lg avg .295 ▼−.038vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
115 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Chase %28.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
651 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.6%→20.2%signal9 K — K% 21.6% (signal) tempered to career ~19.0% → projected 20.2% over ~17 remaining IP.
xERA 3.51noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.51 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 19 IP.
BB% 7.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.289 gives a 1.31 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.