MLB Daily DeltaWeek 29 · October 9, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Kyle Hart
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Kyle Hart wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Kyle Hart
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Kyle Hart
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Kyle Hart
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Kyle Hart
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Kyle Hart
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Kyle Hart
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Kyle Hart
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.055.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Kyle Hart
2.055.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9001.47
now 1.34
1.23
Kyle Hart
.9001.47
now 1.02
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4021
now 15
0
Kyle Hart
4021
now 11
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Kyle Hart
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
BuyKyle Hart — buy.conf 0.73
Tweet