MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Drew Anderson
Drew Anderson
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP, wins, and saves. Drew Anderson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 3 categories (WHIP, W, SV); Drew Anderson wins 2 (K, ERA).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Drew Anderson
95.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.9%
Drew Anderson
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
27.1%
Drew Anderson
29.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
36.8%
Drew Anderson
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
34.6%
Drew Anderson
40.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
13.5%
Drew Anderson
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.331
Drew Anderson
.267
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.364.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Drew Anderson
2.364.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.03
2.88
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.171.41
now 1.34
1.24
Drew Anderson
1.171.41
now 1.26
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4058.40
now 15
30
Drew Anderson
4058.40
now 46
43
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0008
now 2
26
Drew Anderson
.0008
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0009
now 2
27
Drew Anderson
.0009
now 2
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
BuyDrew Anderson — buy.conf 0.92
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