MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Connor Phillips
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Connor Phillips wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Connor Phillips
98.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Connor Phillips
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Connor Phillips
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Connor Phillips
20.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Connor Phillips
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Connor Phillips
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Connor Phillips
.378
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
26.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Connor Phillips
26.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
3.89
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.011.99
now 1.34
1.23
Connor Phillips
1.011.99
now 1.77
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4039.20
now 15
0
Connor Phillips
4039.20
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Connor Phillips
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
Sell HighConnor Phillips — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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