MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Nunez
Anthony Nunez
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Anthony Nunez’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Anthony Nunez wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Nunez
96.1
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Nunez
16.8%
Caleb Thielbar
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Nunez
25.5%
Caleb Thielbar
29.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Nunez
35.8%
Caleb Thielbar
38.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Nunez
40.0%
Caleb Thielbar
38.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Nunez
7.6%
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Nunez
.309
Caleb Thielbar
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Nunez
26.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.67
3.72
Caleb Thielbar
26.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Nunez
1.171.41
now 1.33
1.24
Caleb Thielbar
1.171.41
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Nunez
4037.40
now 31
27
Caleb Thielbar
4037.40
now 15
21
Winshigher is better
Anthony Nunez
.0006.60
now 2
12
Caleb Thielbar
.0006.60
now 2
25
Saveshigher is better
Anthony Nunez
.0006.60
now 3
23
Caleb Thielbar
.0006.60
now 2
15
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAnthony Nunez — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
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