Is Leody Taveras a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Leody Taveras's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .289, exit velo 87 — no power edge.

290 PA · week 17

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Leody Taveras

BAL·CF

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60

ROSAVG .223HR 3R 22RBI 22SB 6

Taveras is a sell — his skill is below league with no luck excuse.

His expected wOBA is .289 — .026 below the league average of .315 — and his sample of 290 plate appearances is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .302, not dramatically higher, so there is no luck story pulling the line up. The contact quality metrics tell the same story: exit velocity is 87.4 mph (1.6 below league), hard-hit rate is 30.2% (nearly 10 points below league), and barrel rate is 4.8% (3.2 points below league). All three are based on 189 batted balls, well past their stabilization points. His strikeout rate is elevated at 24.8%, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, confirming the downward trend. There is no hidden upside here — the numbers are stable and unflattering. Sell. 3 HR, .223 AVG, and 6 SB make him a deep-league streamer at best — drop.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.8%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~6.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —

189 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %30.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.8%vs his norm —

189 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm −1.7% ▼

189 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.289

lg avg .315 ▼−.026vs his norm —

290 / 160 PA

wOBA.302

lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —

290 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —

290 / 60 PA

Walk %9.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

290 / 120 PA

BABIP.315

lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm +.026 ▲BABIP is above his ~.289 norm — expect it to fall.

189 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —

290 / 50 PA

Chase %30.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —

290 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.8%→5.7%signal3 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to career ~6.5% → projected 5.7%.

BABIP 0.315→0.281 regressednoise.223 AVG — BABIP 0.315 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.271 (xBA 0.223) → 0.281.

on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~172 projected PA.

slugging + lineup22 RBI — his RBI rate over ~172 projected PA.

run rate / role6 SB — his steal rate (6 in 50 G) over ~172 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons