Is Leody Taveras a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Leody Taveras's rest-of-season outlook?

Barrel rate 4.1% and xwOBA .273 — no power floor.

482 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Leody Taveras

BAL·CF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.273 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Taveras is a sell — below-league contact and no luck to blame

His contact quality is the problem, and it starts with the exit velocity: 88.0 mph off the bat, a full tick below league average. The hard-hit rate is 32.6% against a league average of 40.0%, and his barrel rate is 4.1% against 8.0% — all on 316 batted balls, past the point where those numbers become reliable. That contact profile lines up with his expected wOBA of .273, which sits .042 below the league average of .315. His actual wOBA is .282, right next to it, so his stat line is telling the same story the underlying numbers are. The gap is skill, not bounces. On top of it, his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample, and his strikeout rate of 25.7% is above league average. This is the level he's at. Sell. A .000 AVG with 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB confirms the fade — streaming-only, not a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.1%—−2.4% ▼vs his ~6.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.273 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —

316 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %32.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —

316 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.1%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −2.4% ▼

316 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.273

lg avg .315 ▼−.042vs his norm —

482 / 160 PA

wOBA.282

lg avg .315 ▼−.033vs his norm —

482 / 200 PA

Strikeout %25.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —

482 / 60 PA

Walk %8.5%

lg avg 8.5% 0.0%vs his norm —

482 / 120 PA

BABIP.288

lg avg .295 ▼−.007vs his norm −.001 ▼BABIP is below his ~.289 norm — expect it to rise.

316 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

482 / 50 PA

Chase %32.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —

482 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.1%→5.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~6.5% → projected 5.0%.

BABIP 0.288→0.271 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.288 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.214) → 0.271.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (6 in 50 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons