Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryLeody
10HR ←6
38R →41
38RBI →41
10SB →11
.249AVG ←.247
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryLeody
5HR ←2
23R ←22
23RBI ←22
6SB6
.275AVG.274
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Leody Taveras
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)
Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Leody Taveras: 6 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).