265 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Matt Olson
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Olson is a buy — elite contact, stable and proven.
His expected wOBA sits at .382, a full .067 above league average, with enough plate appearances for that number to mean something. The story is his contact quality: a hard-hit rate of 51.4% that has climbed across the sample and is well past the point where luck could explain it. Barrel rate and exit velocity are elite too. His actual wOBA matches xwOBA within four points — the production is earned, not inflated. The strikeout rate is roughly league average, so there is no hidden flaw to mute the line. The bat is playing exactly as the underlying metrics suggest. Buy.
Buy
med0.73
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.382, +0.067 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo93.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+4.4 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL175 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %51.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+11.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL175 / 50 BBE
Barrel %15.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL175 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.382
lg avg .315 ▲+.067trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 160 PA
wOBA.378
lg avg .315 ▲+.063trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 60 PA
Walk %10.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 120 PA
BABIP.283
lg avg .295 ▼−.012too early to trust
NOISE175 / 800 BIP