125 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Starling Marte
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.309); BABIP 0.367 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .255R 6RBI 4SB 0
Marte is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .263 YTD → .255 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.3%—+4.6% ▲vs his ~6.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.309)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.367 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphvs his norm —
80 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
80 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm +4.6% ▲
80 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.309
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 160 PA
wOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
125 / 60 PA
Walk %6.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
125 / 120 PA
BABIP.367
lg avg .295 ▲+.072vs his norm +.049 ▲BABIP is above his ~.318 norm — expect it to fall.
80 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
125 / 50 PA
Chase %35.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.9%vs his norm —
125 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.3%→8.0%signal3 HR — Barrel% 11.3% (signal) tempered to career ~6.7% → projected 8.0%.
BABIP 0.367→0.350 regressednoise.255 AVG — BABIP 0.367 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.348 (xBA 0.250) → 0.350.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~136 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~136 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 25 G) over ~136 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.