Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryStarling
4HR →6
16R ←10
13RBI ←7
8SB ←0
.194AVG →.260
Current Season
JakeCategoryStarling
2HR ←0
6R ←3
5RBI ←2
3SB ←0
.232AVG →.263
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Fraley
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.277)
Starling Marte
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.323)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.362 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Fraley leads Marte 8 to 0 in stolen bases, while Marte outpaces him .260 to .194 in average. In categories leagues, the SB edge carries; in AVG formats, Marte prevails. Both hold verdicts; the stat spread differentiates.