Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJake
5HR ←4
29R ←16
20RBI ←13
0SB →8
.190AVG →.194
Current Season
DavidCategoryJake
3HR ←2
12R ←6
8RBI ←5
0SB →3
.259AVG ←.232
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Fraley
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.277)
David Fry: 5 HR / 30 R. Jake Fraley: 4 HR / 16 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).