90 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jake Fraley
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.276); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .190HR 1R 8RBI 7SB 4
Fraley is a hold — limited data, league-average skill.
ROS projects AVG .232 YTD → .190 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.276)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.1 mphvs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %21.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−18.6%vs his norm —
57 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm +4.0% ▲Barrel % is above his ~4.8% norm — expect it to fall.
57 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 160 PA
wOBA.304
lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.8%vs his norm —
90 / 60 PA
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
90 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.006 ▲BABIP is above his ~.303 norm — expect it to fall.
57 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
90 / 50 PA
Chase %21.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−6.6%vs his norm —
90 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.8%→5.7%noise1 HR — Barrel% 8.8% (noise) tempered to career ~4.8% → projected 5.7%.
BABIP 0.309→0.261 regressednoise.190 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.204) → 0.261.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~127 projected PA.
slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~127 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (3 in 28 G) over ~127 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.