Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryJorge
4HR →5
16R →24
13RBI →17
8SB ←0
.194AVG ←.170
Current Season
JakeCategoryJorge
2HR ←1
6R →10
5RBI →7
3SB ←0
.232AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Fraley
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.277)
Jorge Barrosa
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.250 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.207 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Fraley: .194 AVG/8 SB vs Jorge Barrosa: .169 AVG/0 SB. In category formats Barrosa's lack of speed makes Fraley the asset.