Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryJosé
4HR ←0
16R ←11
13RBI →26
8SB ←0
.194AVG ←.193
Current Season
JakeCategoryJosé
2HR2
6R ←4
5RBI →9
3SB ←0
.232AVG ←.217
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Fraley
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.277)
José Fermín
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.296 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
Jake Fraley: 4 HR / 16 R. José Fermín: 0 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).