Rest of Season Projection
DenzelCategoryJosé
3HR ←0
14R ←11
22RBI →26
7SB ←0
.162AVG →.193
Current Season
DenzelCategoryJosé
0HR →2
4R4
6RBI →9
2SB ←0
.170AVG →.217
What Each Player's System Trusts
Denzel Clarke
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.193)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
José Fermín
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.296 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
Denzel Clarke: 3 HR / 15 R. José Fermín: 0 HR / 12 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).