Is David Fry a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is David Fry's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .255 with a 29% strikeout rate — no contact floor

184 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL-HIGH

David Fry

CLE·RF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.255 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.67

ROSHR 0AVG .165R 4RBI 3SB 0

Fry is a sell — the bat is below league and the sample is real.

He has 184 plate appearances this season, past the point where expected wOBA becomes reliable, and the number is .255 — 60 points below the league average of .315. That is a large gap with no luck story sitting underneath it. His contact quality backs the number rather than contradicting it. He has 103 batted balls, enough to trust the reading: 85.7 mph average exit velocity, six points below league, a 33% hard-hit rate against a 40% league average, and a 5.8% barrel rate below the 8% benchmark. The changes are not moving in his favor. His expected wOBA has stepped down across the sample, and his strikeout rate has stepped up to 29.3%, seven points above league and stable at 184 plate appearances. There is no slump waiting to break. Sell. 0 HR / 4 R / 3 RBI and a .165 AVG are waiver-wire filler — a deep-league stream at best, so cut him for the roster spot.

VS His Norm

Barrel %5.8%—−2.9% ▼vs his ~8.7% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.255 below league with no luck excuse
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo85.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.3 mphvs his norm —

103 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %33.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm —

103 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm −2.9% ▼

103 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.255

lg avg .315 ▼−.060vs his norm —

184 / 160 PA

wOBA.293

lg avg .315 ▼−.022vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.

184 / 200 PA

Strikeout %29.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.3%vs his norm —

184 / 60 PA

Walk %14.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —

184 / 120 PA

BABIP.247

lg avg .295 ▼−.048vs his norm −.039 ▼BABIP is below his ~.286 norm — expect it to rise.

103 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —

184 / 50 PA

Chase %27.7%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

184 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.8%→7.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.8% (signal) lifted to career ~8.7% → projected 7.7%.

BABIP 0.247→0.232 regressednoise.165 AVG — BABIP 0.247 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.168) → 0.232.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.

slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~33 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons