Is David Fry a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is David Fry's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .271 and 86 mph exit velo — weak contact, real.

214 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekSELL-HIGH

David Fry

CLE·RF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Fry is a sell — weak contact, no luck to blame.

His average exit velocity is 86.3 mph, nearly three mph below the league average of 89.0, and he has 125 batted balls — well past the 50 it takes for that number to be reliable. The hard-hit rate backs it up at 34.4%, five points under league, with a barrel rate of 6.4% also short of average. That contact quality is why his expected wOBA sits at .271, 44 points below the league average of .315, and his sample of 214 plate appearances is past the point where the number becomes trustworthy. His actual wOBA of .304 runs slightly above his expected mark, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down — the surface is if anything flattering him. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, not holding. The bat is below league and the trend points the wrong way. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is streaming-only — drop him and stop treating this as a hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %6.4%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~8.7% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.7 mphvs his norm —

125 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.4%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm —

125 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm −2.3% ▼

125 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.271

lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —

214 / 160 PA

wOBA.304

lg avg .315 ▼−.011vs his norm —

214 / 200 PA

Strikeout %27.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm —

214 / 60 PA

Walk %13.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —

214 / 120 PA

BABIP.248

lg avg .295 ▼−.047vs his norm −.038 ▼BABIP is below his ~.286 norm — expect it to rise.

125 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

214 / 50 PA

Chase %27.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —

214 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.4%→7.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.4% (signal) lifted to career ~8.7% → projected 7.8%.

BABIP 0.248→0.233 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.248 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.181) → 0.233.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons