Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJames
6HR6
33R ←31
22RBI ←10
0SB →14
.193AVG ←.163
Current Season
DavidCategoryJames
3HR ←0
12R ←9
8RBI ←3
0SB →4
.259AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
James Outman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.201)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. James Outman: 6 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).