Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryDrew
6HR ←5
33R ←28
22RBI →28
0SB0
.193AVG →.210
Current Season
DavidCategoryDrew
3HR3
12R12
8RBI →12
0SB0
.259AVG ←.231
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drew Gilbert
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.251)
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Drew Gilbert: 5 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).