Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryDavid
3HR →6
20R →33
23RBI ←22
7SB ←0
.183AVG →.193
Current Season
BlakeCategoryDavid
0HR →3
6R →12
7RBI →8
2SB ←0
.092AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Perkins
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.241)
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Perkins: 3 HR / 20 R. David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).