Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryStarling
6HR6
33R ←11
22RBI ←7
0SB0
.193AVG →.254
Current Season
DavidCategoryStarling
3HR ←0
12R ←3
8RBI ←2
0SB0
.259AVG →.263
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Starling Marte
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.303)
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Starling Marte: 6 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).