Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryOneil
6HR →19
33R →63
22RBI →61
0SB →28
.193AVG →.242
Current Season
DavidCategoryOneil
3HR →13
12R →42
8RBI →41
0SB →19
.259AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).