week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Will Dion
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.22); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 8ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Dion is a hold — the skill sits near league average.
ROS projects K 8 YTD → 8 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.22)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm —
100 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
100 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.279
lg avg .315 ▼−.036vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 200 TBF
xERA3.22
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.88vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 200 TBF
ERA3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
39.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
158 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.290
lg avg .295 ▼−.005vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
158 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
158 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.8 mphvs his norm —
612 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.5%→27.6%signal8 K — K% 28.5% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 27.6% over ~6 remaining IP.
xERA 3.22noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.22 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 6 IP.
BB% 7.6% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.21 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.