MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Dion
Will Dion
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Aaron Ashby wins 1 (ERA); Will Dion wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Will Dion
91.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
13.0%
Will Dion
13.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.3%
Will Dion
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
29.5%
Will Dion
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
40.2%
Will Dion
32.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.9%
Will Dion
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.268
Will Dion
.283
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
27.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.99
Will Dion
27.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
3.35
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
1.022.06
now 1.28
1.30
Will Dion
1.022.06
now 1.83
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4071.40
now 51
0
Will Dion
4071.40
now 8
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.60
now 9
0–0
Will Dion
.00012.60
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Ashby — buy.conf 0.92
BuyWill Dion — buy.conf 0.82
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