Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryBen
60K →67
3.58ERA →2.80
1.25WHIP →1.19
6–17W ←1–4
0SV →1–2
Current Season
AaronCategoryBen
51K →53
2.00ERA →1.92
1.28WHIP →0.93
9W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Ashby
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.89)
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.231 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.80 is 1.06 above the ERA — regression coming
Aaron Ashby: 60 K / 3.58 ERA. Ben Brown: 67 K / 2.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).