Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJeff
71K ←63
2.91ERA ←3.67
1.21WHIP ←1.24
1–4W →5–10
1–2SV →6–11
Current Season
BenCategoryJeff
53K ←45
1.92ERA ←6.31
0.93WHIP ←1.75
2W →4
1SV →5
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeff Hoffman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.516 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ben Brown: 71 K / 2.91 ERA. Jeff Hoffman: 63 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).