MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Chase Dollander
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Dollander.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Aaron Ashby’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Dollander wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Aaron Ashby wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Chase Dollander
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
12.8%
Chase Dollander
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
31.2%
Chase Dollander
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
29.5%
Chase Dollander
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
40.7%
Chase Dollander
52.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.5%
Chase Dollander
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.263
Chase Dollander
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.86
Chase Dollander
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.89
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
1.191.38
now 1.28
1.31
Chase Dollander
1.191.38
now 1.30
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4068.60
now 51
7
Chase Dollander
4068.60
now 47
10
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.60
now 9
12
Chase Dollander
.00012.60
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeChase Dollander — hold.conf 0.50
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