MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Gabriel Hughes
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Ashby.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Gabriel Hughes’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Gabriel Hughes wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Gabriel Hughes
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
12.8%
Gabriel Hughes
9.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.9%
Gabriel Hughes
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.8%
Gabriel Hughes
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.2%
Gabriel Hughes
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.6%
Gabriel Hughes
2.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.275
Gabriel Hughes
.238
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.13
Gabriel Hughes
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
.9001.45
now 1.28
1.32
Gabriel Hughes
.9001.45
now 1.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4071
now 51
28
Gabriel Hughes
4071
now 1
9
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.60
now 9
38
Gabriel Hughes
.00012.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00021
now 0
0
Gabriel Hughes
.00021
now 1
315
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.82
Buy LowGabriel Hughes — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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