MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Civale.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 categories (ERA); Andrew Painter wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Andrew Painter
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Andrew Painter
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
18.5%
Andrew Painter
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.1%
Andrew Painter
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
40.2%
Andrew Painter
35.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.0%
Andrew Painter
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.320
Andrew Painter
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.586.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.26
Andrew Painter
3.586.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.30
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.301.59
now 1.47
1.37
Andrew Painter
1.301.59
now 1.52
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4060.20
now 39
0
Andrew Painter
4060.20
now 43
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
0–0
Andrew Painter
.0007
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
SellAndrew Painter — sell.conf 0.64
Tweet