Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jacob Lopez.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Jacob Lopez wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Aaron Civale wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Jacob Lopez
90.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.4%
Jacob Lopez
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.5%
Jacob Lopez
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.9%
Jacob Lopez
24.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.6%
Jacob Lopez
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Jacob Lopez
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.348
Jacob Lopez
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
2.977.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.80
Jacob Lopez
2.977.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
4.05
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.212.02
now 1.47
1.39
Jacob Lopez
1.212.02
now 1.84
1.57
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4056.60
now 39
47
Jacob Lopez
4056.60
now 38
51
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
110
now 5
4–8
Jacob Lopez
110
now 4
3–6
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.87
Buy LowJacob Lopez — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90