MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Portrait of Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MIL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 2 (R, RBI); Jackson Chourio wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Jackson Chourio
91.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.6%
Jackson Chourio
47.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.5%
Jackson Chourio
12.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.5%
Jackson Chourio
34.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Jackson Chourio
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.411
Jackson Chourio
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .248
.219
Jackson Chourio
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .276
.250

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
523.40
now 17
1
Jackson Chourio
523.40
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2058.20
now 43
7
Jackson Chourio
2058.20
now 13
5
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2051.60
now 38
6
Jackson Chourio
2051.60
now 11
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
.0006.60
now 5
1
Jackson Chourio
.0006.60
now 5
2
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.79
BuyJackson Chourio — buy.conf 0.64
Tweet