MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYY · RF
Change to
Portrait of Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Judge.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Aaron Judge wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Jake McCarthy wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Jake McCarthy
85.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Jake McCarthy
25.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Jake McCarthy
5.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Jake McCarthy
34.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Jake McCarthy
12.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Jake McCarthy
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.220.310
lg AVG .295
now .248
.239
Jake McCarthy
.220.310
lg AVG .295
now .288
.259

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
522.60
now 17
13
Jake McCarthy
522.60
now 4
3
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2052.20
now 43
43
Jake McCarthy
2052.20
now 20
27
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2043.20
now 38
38
Jake McCarthy
2043.20
now 25
33
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
1.8016.20
now 5
5
Jake McCarthy
1.8016.20
now 10
13
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
Sell HighJake McCarthy — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
Tweet