MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MIN · CF
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Portrait of Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jake McCarthy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Byron Buxton’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jake McCarthy wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Byron Buxton wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Byron Buxton
90.6
Jake McCarthy
85.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Byron Buxton
47.3%
Jake McCarthy
25.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Byron Buxton
18.5%
Jake McCarthy
5.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Byron Buxton
35.1%
Jake McCarthy
34.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Byron Buxton
16.3%
Jake McCarthy
12.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Byron Buxton
.351
Jake McCarthy
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Byron Buxton
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .258
.230
Jake McCarthy
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .288
.259

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Byron Buxton
522.60
now 17
13
Jake McCarthy
522.60
now 4
3
Runshigher is better
Byron Buxton
2053.60
now 40
44
Jake McCarthy
2053.60
now 20
27
RBIhigher is better
Byron Buxton
21.8036.20
now 27
29
Jake McCarthy
21.8036.20
now 25
33
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Byron Buxton
1.8016.20
now 5
5
Jake McCarthy
1.8016.20
now 10
13
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyByron Buxton — buy.conf 0.67
Sell HighJake McCarthy — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
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