Who's more valuable, rest of season
Shohei Ohtani.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Aaron Judge’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
◀
RBI
SB
▶
AVG
▶
Shohei Ohtani wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Aaron Judge wins 2 (R, RBI).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Shohei Ohtani
93.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Shohei Ohtani
52.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Shohei Ohtani
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Shohei Ohtani
29.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Shohei Ohtani
12.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Shohei Ohtani
.416
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .248
.233
Shohei Ohtani
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.287
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
5.8020.20
now 17
9
Shohei Ohtani
5.8020.20
now 10
10
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
23.4048.60
now 43
33
Shohei Ohtani
23.4048.60
now 38
29
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2043.60
now 38
29
Shohei Ohtani
2043.60
now 31
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2.807.20
now 5
4
Shohei Ohtani
2.807.20
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
BuyShohei Ohtani — buy.conf 0.80