MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHI · RF
Change to
Portrait of Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LAD · TWP
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shohei Ohtani.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Shohei Ohtani wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Derek Hill wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Derek Hill
89.7
Shohei Ohtani
93.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
33.8%
Shohei Ohtani
52.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
10.4%
Shohei Ohtani
16.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Derek Hill
34.3%
Shohei Ohtani
28.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Derek Hill
18.0%
Shohei Ohtani
12.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Derek Hill
.293
Shohei Ohtani
.411
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Derek Hill
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .234
.214
Shohei Ohtani
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .289
.285

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
515.60
now 3
4
Shohei Ohtani
515.60
now 10
12
Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
2049.60
now 9
18
Shohei Ohtani
2049.60
now 38
33
RBIhigher is better
Derek Hill
2041
now 6
12
Shohei Ohtani
2041
now 31
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Derek Hill
2.2014.80
now 6
12
Shohei Ohtani
2.2014.80
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDerek Hill — hold.conf 0.50
BuyShohei Ohtani — buy.conf 0.79
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