Rest of Season Projection
AdamCategoryHao-Yu
2HR →8
39R ←16
15RBI →24
0SB0
.164AVG →.219
Current Season
AdamCategoryHao-Yu
1HR →2
15R ←6
6RBI →9
0SB0
.227AVG ←.205
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adam Frazier
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.308 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.237 is 0.049 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Hao-Yu Lee
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.281)
Adam Frazier: 2 HR / 39 R. Hao-Yu Lee: 8 HR / 16 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).