Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryCam
60K →114
4.95ERA →2.75
1.42WHIP →1.05
2–5W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryCam
35K →81
5.59ERA →1.50
1.56WHIP →0.85
2W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.41 +1.31 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Adrian Houser: 62 K / 4.94 ERA. Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).