MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Chase Petty
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Adrian Houser wins 2 (K, W); Chase Petty wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.5
Chase Petty
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.4%
Chase Petty
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
15.2%
Chase Petty
10.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.4%
Chase Petty
27.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
42.1%
Chase Petty
36.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
9.6%
Chase Petty
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.351
Chase Petty
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
3.207.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.89
Chase Petty
3.207.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.35
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.111.69
now 1.56
1.38
Chase Petty
1.111.69
now 1.24
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4048.20
now 35
34
Chase Petty
4048.20
now 2
8
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.0004.20
now 2
13
Chase Petty
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighChase Petty — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.71
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