MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Adrian Houser wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Nick Lodolo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.5
Nick Lodolo
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.5%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
15.0%
Nick Lodolo
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.4%
Nick Lodolo
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
42.7%
Nick Lodolo
38.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
9.5%
Nick Lodolo
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.356
Nick Lodolo
.374
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
4.715.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.96
Nick Lodolo
4.715.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.39
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.291.64
now 1.56
1.41
Nick Lodolo
1.291.64
now 1.37
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4072.40
now 35
46
Nick Lodolo
4072.40
now 22
58
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.4007.60
now 2
23
Nick Lodolo
.4007.60
now 2
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.90
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
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