Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryMichael
73K →89
5.12ERA ←5.26
1.45WHIP ←1.47
2–5W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryMichael
35K →43
5.59ERA ←7.22
1.56WHIP ←1.90
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.67 +1.57 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Houser's 5.12 ERA to Lorenzen's 5.26 — WHIP nearly identical at 1.45 vs 1.47. Both are sell verdicts; the 16 K edge (89 vs 73) gives Lorenzen a slight counting bump.