Who's more valuable, rest of season
Michael Lorenzen.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Brayan Bello’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Michael Lorenzen wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Brayan Bello wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
94.7
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.3%
Michael Lorenzen
8.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
16.6%
Michael Lorenzen
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.0%
Michael Lorenzen
24.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
44.1%
Michael Lorenzen
46.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
10.4%
Michael Lorenzen
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.373
Michael Lorenzen
.359
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
4.178.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.39
Michael Lorenzen
4.178.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.04
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.232.09
now 1.64
1.42
Michael Lorenzen
1.232.09
now 1.90
1.50
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4048.60
now 40
41
Michael Lorenzen
4048.60
now 43
42
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.2003.80
now 2
1–3
Michael Lorenzen
.2003.80
now 2
1–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90