Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryMichael
81K →89
5.32ERA →5.26
1.44WHIP ←1.47
2–5W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BrayanCategoryMichael
40K →43
5.63ERA ←7.22
1.64WHIP ←1.90
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Bello
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.97 +1.87 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Bello projects 81 K / 5.32 ERA vs Lorenzen's 89 K / 5.26 ERA — near-identical surface lines. The slim K edge (89 vs 81) and ERA gap (5.26 vs 5.32) are noise; both carry sell verdicts with no separator.